Of the three ballot initiatives that voters will decide upon this fall, the generally thinking is that they favor Republicans and will drive up conservative turnout- and I think it’s fair to say they will all pass. These would be the first ballot initiatives to get the okay from voters, should they get majority support.
One of the initiatives voters will decide upon is a law to require voter identification at the polls. Throughout the country, voter ID is generally popular and there is no reason to believe it is any different in Mississippi. As it was the Mississippi Republican Party that spearheaded the signature drive, we know where the GOP stands and this is certainly a good issue for them.
But with the Democratic Party, we will likely see far less unity. The Black Caucus members have been, and will be, opposed the initiative and certainly won’t lose anything with their constituents because of that position. The questions lie with the group known as rural, white Democrats. Certainly, many RWDs represent safe districts, but many also make up what will be the 2011 legislative battlegrounds this fall. They will likely have no choice but to support the initiative. I suspect many will try their best to remain silent.