Ninety percent of registered voters will likely head to the polls on December 17, according to the latest survey. While 43 percent of voters say they will vote for the Opposition One Bermuda Alliance, and 30 percent for the governing Progressive Labour Party, almost a quarter say they do not know — or refuse to say — who they will be casting their ballot for. Independent candidates said the results reflect Bermuda’s political and racial polarisation, dissatisfaction with the political system, and vindicate their positions. But some have suggested that the survey is part of a conspiracy to influence the outcome of the elections.
Research firm MindMaps interviewed a representative sample of 400 Bermuda residents of voting age between December 3 and December 10.
The survey found that 77 percent of registered voters were “absolutely certain” they would vote in a parliamentary election, while 13 percent reported they were “very likely” to vote.
Almost all (98 percent) of white voters reported that they were absolutely certain or very likely to vote, compared to 87 percent of black voters.
White voters were also more likely (88 percent) to vote for the Opposition party, but 11 percent were unsure or refused to say.
Among black voters, 46 percent said they would vote for the PLP if the election were held tomorrow, with 21 percent saying they would vote for the OBA and 30 percent unsure.
The proportion of voters who say they will vote for the PLP is down by eight percentage points since September when the last survey was taken, while the OBA has seen its support dip by a slight two percentage points.
The poll’s margin of error is 4.9 percent.
Full Article: Survey predicts big turnout by voters | Bermuda Politics.