A member of the President Trump’s voter fraud commission is continuing his separate crusade of bullying localities into purging their voter rolls, even as a witness at a commission meeting last month questioned the formula the commissioner has used to bring his claims. For years before J. Christian Adams was named to Trump’s voter fraud commission, he led a private group that sent letters and in some cases brought lawsuits against counties alleging that they had bloated voter rolls in violation of the National Voter Registration Act. To make those claims, he has compared the Census Bureau’s estimate of the number of a county’s citizens of voting age to the number of registered voters on its rolls. … However, as Kimball Brace, president of Election Data Services, testified at the voter fraud commission’s second meeting in New Hampshire last month, the comparison is not as simple as it looks.
The data, he noted, comes from two different sources and is collected at two different times. Citizen voting age population typically comes from the Census’ American Community Survey, which comes with a margin of error, and is usually released well after an election.
Voter registration numbers meanwhile are measured right before elections, when the numbers tend to be at their highest. They might also include 16 or 17 years olds who legally in some states are allowed to register early, as well as voters at military institutions in the area, Brace noted.
“Estimates are estimates, and that’s part of what we have today,” Brace said.